First – all of us are not terrorists, especially the 80 year old grandmother and 10 year olds you are groping. However, if the United States government continues with their current trend of invasion of privacy and near molestation of American citizens they may be well on their way to becoming a terrorist state. Additionally, it appears as if we are already being terrorized due to the number of ridiculous steps one has to take when flying, and we have done nothing to increase our security.
OK, that was my rant and I will attempt to deliver the rest in a logical matter taking security and risk into account.
There is a great quote regarding security that paraphrased states the protector has to be right 100% of the time but the attacker only has to be right once. There are a lot of targets for attackers, and note that I am not using the word terrorist, but I include them in this categorization. Shopping malls, restaurants, crowded bus and train terminals, trains, busses, subways, concerts, schools, etc. It is impossible to protect all of these locations 100% of the time from 100% of attackers. Furthermore, you have to classify the risks and distribute your finite amount of protections against them in a manner that reduces, but never eliminates the risk. This has to be balanced by protecting the rights and freedoms of the very people you are trying to protect in the first place, or you have accomplished nothing and the people intending to harm you (the attackers) have actually terrorized you and accomplished their main goal. I could go on discussing the need for intelligence and actual police work, which is the only item that has ever stopped attacks or terrorist activity, but instead I am focusing this blog on just aviation security.
The government has once again based their security posture on a reaction to a specific threat and not on the overall risks to commercial passenger aviation. The shoe bomber tried to detonate a device in his shoe, so we all remove our shoes, the underwear bomber tried to detonate a device in his pants, and now we are all getting groped and having naked images of ourselves taken when we fly. There was a device disguised as a toner cartridge, so now we can no longer bring those on board. In the old days, I had to make my pager beep so that the security people knew it was not a bomb, and every time I did this the same thought ran through my head “If someone could make a pager into a bomb, they could damn sure make it beep when they wanted”.
The new procedures will still not be able to find explosives hidden in or on the body, and anyone who has worked in a prison will tell you that for certain, and let you know how you would have to search someone to find them - let’s just say it ain’t pretty. People with medical devices or prosthetics will be especially embarrassed by the latest tactics, and in the end the TSA agent will still not know if the insulin pump contains anything we should not let on a plane. It is still far easier and less risky to get a job as a baggage handler or ramp employee and smuggle explosives on a plane, than it is to bring it through the front door or to simply mail the explosives in a cargo container. There are hundreds of other means as well, but again we are discussing a specific threat and need to be discussing risks and countermeasures at a broader level. In disaster planning, you don’t plan for a plane crashing through your building, you plan for any occurrence that could harm an employee or the facility and plan accordingly. Again, I am only speaking of aviation security here, and there are many more targets that are far easier than an aircraft to attack.
Ask yourself this, would the current tactics have stopped the 9/11 terrorists – no. That event was a black swan, and was not anticipated by the countermeasures in place at the time, and the next event may not be either. If we continue down the road of reacting to every event with draconian measures that undermine our privacy and freedoms, we will have accomplished nothing, not made our country any safer, and spent a lot of money in the process. We need to ensure that Police are on the job, the intelligence community gets the resources and recognition is desperately deserves and look at all of our risks and not just the one that the last terrorist used.